Don M. Huber
Professor Emeritus, Purdue University
9322 Big Foot Road
Melba, Idaho 83641

Dear Governor Little,

The 15 day continued violation of our Constitutional rights is NOT ACCEPTABLE!!! The covid-19 data doesn’t support the drastic actions taken.  The measures were initially implemented because we were ignorant and needed to exercise the Precautionary Principle in anticipation that our medical resources would be overwhelmed.  They would only reduce an anticipated potential increase in cases and extend the pandemic, but at a slower pace. The data we now have does NOT support any extension/suspension of our Constitutional Rights and liberty.

There is absolutely NO REASON why we can’t safely and responsibly open our economy right now and beat covid-19 at the same time. Much of the data available to the public is based on flawed models that are compromised and corrupted to generate fear and destroy rational thinking.  Where is valid data showing how many Idahoans are infected, recovered, immune or died from covid-19; and the benefit of a six-foot distance for an air-borne virus?

There is evidence that covid-19 was endemic in Idaho (Sun Valley, and Jackson Hole, WY) and documented in other parts of the U.S. by mid-November rather than mid-January.  Epidemiologically relevant models for exponential spread commonly used to justify the drastic restrictions in Constitutional rights would therefore need to be moved two months earlier than the January 20 date commonly used, and indicate extensive establishment in the society by now.  To get to Sun Valley, most international visitors fly into Boise.  Although most people experience little or mild symptom expression, the limited number of people that experienced a more severe reaction in November and December (“Jackson Hole Crud”) and lingering, persistent cough could ‘chalk it up’ to just a more severe form of the common flu. Fatalities almost uniformly succumbed from underlying conditions.  Epidemiologically, approximately 30 % of the population could have been exposed and recovered by the time the first individual case was documented in January, and 60 – 70 % by now, to approach the ‘curling’ phase of the epidemic/pandemic approaching ‘herd immunity’ suppression.  Since only the sick are tested, the available data misses the most important component of the population that could return to school and work safely because of antibody response level. They would not spread the virus or be susceptible to it.

The oppressive restrictions you implemented are counter productive and do more damage than good, are unconstitutional, too late (after the horse is already out of the barn), and unnecessarily harsh for this disease. Their continued implementation intensifies the economic, physical, and social damage that is being done; and stretches out the severe infective period by decreasing ‘herd immunity.’

Remediation necessarily includes immediate removal of restrictions, encouragement of immune system support by diet and exposure to the sun, and getting back to school and work for morale and the economy.  High-risk individuals should take special precautions to minimize exposure, and hospital personnel should be briefed on therapeutic responses (Vitamins A, C, and D-3, and I and Zn). The flu shot should be discouraged since it predisposes to covid-19 (Air Force study) – especially for the high-risk population. Individuals who are feeling sick should be encouraged to stay home until well and then move back to work or school.  Parks, beaches, lakes and other outdoor recreation facilities should be opened immediately and individuals encouraged to enjoy the out doors in Idaho’s beautiful sunshine to generate critical levels of vitamin D-3 to bolster the immune system rather than hunkered down in the dark.

I have attached recommendations Dr. Shiva Aayadurai, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, provided President Trump for a more detailed recovery response applicable to Idaho. [Note: Dr. Aayadurai corrected this letter to state 1 g/day IV vitamin C rather than 100 g!]

This disease genie can’t be put back in the bottle! It will be with us for a long time, as will the consequences of our over-reaction to it.  What will our reaction be this fall when the next ‘flu season’ arrives? What resources will we be able to take from other critical societal needs and muster for the fight – or will we already have squandered them fighting the windmill of covid-19 now? 

The consequences of fear are economic and social disruption.  Testing everyone to show the high level of immunity is one way to dispel much of the fear.  Acknowledgement of the safe, effective therapies that are readily available now need more publicity as do the large number of fully recovered individuals that can’t catch or spread the virus, but can function to provide a semblance of normalcy and suppress covid-19 spread to non-infected individuals. We are currently doing the opposite!

We don’t need the cumbersome measures you imposed, as I believe adequate antibody testing will show.

Get Idaho back to school and work!

Don M. Huber, 9322 Big Foot Road, Melba, ID 83641

Dr. Don M. Huber is Emeritus Professor, Purdue University; COL(Ret.) US Army (Medical Intelligence, Biowarfare Sr. Analyst); Former Associate Director, Armed Forces Medical Intelligence Center, Frederick, MD, now National Medical Intelligence Center; former Chairman, USDA National Plant Disease Recovery Program; member, US Threat Pathogens Committee; former member of the Advisory Board, Office of Technology Assessment, US Congress, now Congressional Research Service; and former member, Office of The Surgeon General Global Epidemiology Working Group.

Here is an article that came out on Global Research.

My posts on Facebook are sometimes disappearing or getting harder to find, especially in the period covering last two months. So I decided to place more of my contend here.

Manufactured Pandemic: Testing People for Any Strain of a Coronavirus, Not Specifically for COVID-19

Above is the title and the link to the original article. I do not know how long it might last, so am copying the test here.

It starts with:
The following is from a medical forum. The writer, who is a widely respected professional scientist in the US, prefers to stay anonymous, because presenting any narrative different than the official one can cause you a lot of stress in the toxic environment caused by the scam which surrounds COVID-19 these days. – Julian Rose

And then:

I work in the healthcare field. Here’s the problem, we are testing people for any strain of a Coronavirus. Not specifically for COVID-19. There are no reliable tests for a specific COVID-19 virus. There are no reliable agencies or media outlets for reporting numbers of actual COVID-19 virus cases. This needs to be addressed first and foremost. Every action and reaction to COVID-19 is based on totally flawed data and we simply can not make accurate assessments.

This is why you’re hearing that most people with COVID-19 are showing nothing more than cold/flu like symptoms. That’s because most Coronavirus strains are nothing more than cold/flu like symptoms. The few actual novel Coronavirus cases do have some worse respiratory responses, but still have a very promising recovery rate, especially for those without prior issues.

The ‘gold standard’ in testing for COVID-19 is laboratory isolated/purified coronavirus particles free from any contaminants and particles that look like viruses but are not, that have been proven to be the cause of the syndrome known as COVID-19 and obtained by using proper viral isolation methods and controls (not the PCR that is currently being used or Serology /antibody tests which do not detect virus as such). PCR basically takes a sample of your cells and amplifies any DNA to look for ‘viral sequences’, i.e. bits of non-human DNA that seem to match parts of a known viral genome.

The problem is the test is known not to work.

It uses ‘amplification’ which means taking a very very tiny amount of DNA and growing it exponentially until it can be analyzed. Obviously any minute contaminations in the sample will also be amplified leading to potentially gross errors of discovery.

Additionally, it’s only looking for partial viral sequences, not whole genomes, so identifying a single pathogen is next to impossible even if you ignore the other issues.

The Mickey Mouse test kits being sent out to hospitals, at best, tell analysts you have some viral DNA in your cells. Which most of us do, most of the time. It may tell you the viral sequence is related to a specific type of virus – say the huge family of coronavirus. But that’s all. The idea these kits can isolate a specific virus like COVID-19 is nonsense.

And that’s not even getting into the other issue – viral load.

If you remember the PCR works by amplifying minute amounts of DNA. It therefore is useless at telling you how much virus you may have. And that’s the only question that really matters when it comes to diagnosing illness. Everyone will have a few virus kicking round in their system at any time, and most will not cause illness because their quantities are too small. For a virus to sicken you you need a lot of it, a massive amount of it. But PCR does not test viral load and therefore can’t determine if it is present in sufficient quantities to sicken you.

If you feel sick and get a PCR test any random virus DNA might be identified even if they aren’t at all involved in your sickness which leads to false diagnosis.

And coronavirus are incredibly common. A large percentage of the world human population will have covi DNA in them in small quantities even if they are perfectly well or sick with some other pathogen.

Do you see where this is going yet? If you want to create a totally false panic about a totally false pandemic – pick a coronavirus.

They are incredibly common and there’s tons of them. A very high percentage of people who have become sick by other means (flu, bacterial pneumonia, anything) will have a positive

PCR test for covi even if you’re doing them properly and ruling out contamination, simply because covis are so common.

There are hundreds of thousands of flu and pneumonia victims in hospitals throughout the world at any one time.

All you need to do is select the sickest of these in a single location – say Wuhan – administer PCR tests to them and claim anyone showing viral sequences similar to a coronavirus (which will inevitably be quite a few) is suffering from a ‘new’ disease.

Since you already selected the sickest flu cases a fairly high proportion of your sample will go on to die.

You can then say this ‘new’ virus has a CFR higher than the flu and use this to infuse more concern and do more tests which will of course produce more ‘cases’, which expands the testing, which produces yet more ‘cases’ and so on and so on.

Before long you have your ‘pandemic’, and all you have done is use a simple test kit trick to convert the worst flu and pneumonia cases into something new that doesn’t actually exist.

Now just run the same scam in other countries. Making sure to keep the fear message running high so that people will feel panicky and less able to think critically.

Your only problem is going to be that – due to the fact there is no actual new deadly pathogen but just regular sick people, you are mislabeling your case numbers, and especially your deaths, are going to be way too low for a real new deadly virus pandemic.

But you can stop people pointing this out in several ways.

1. You can claim this is just the beginning and more deaths are imminent. Use this as an excuse to quarantine everyone and then claim the quarantine prevented the expected millions of dead.

2. You can tell people that ‘minimizing’ the dangers is irresponsible and bully them into not talking about numbers.

3. You can talk crap about made up numbers hoping to blind people with pseudoscience.

4. You can start testing well people (who, of course, will also likely have shreds of coronavirus DNA in them) and thus inflate your ‘case figures’ with ‘asymptomatic carriers’ (you will of course have to spin that to sound deadly even though any virologist knows the more symptom-less cases you have the less deadly is your pathogen.

Take these 4 simple steps and you can have your own entirely manufactured pandemic up and running in weeks.

They can not “confirm” something for which there is no accurate test.
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COVID-19 is reported to have reached Dharavi slums, the largest in India at Mumbai, on the shores of the Arabian Sea. It packs a million people in pigeonhole homes barely 8×10 feet in size, with families sometimes numbering six or seven. Some reports claim there is one toilet for every thousand and four hundred people. Social distancing is virtually impossible.

This may prove to be the ultimate battleground between human immune system and the Coronavirus. It fact, it may have been a continuous battlefield against every flu and other infections that come seasonally year upon year upon mankind.

Dharavi is not the largest slum in Asia. Also, outside of Asia there are other larger slums. What happens there with regard to Coronavirus is also worth noting. My guess is, these people have successfully overcome past flu and other infections, and they will overcome this one too – proving one again that this 2019-nCOV virus that is supposed to give us COVID-19 sickness, is a minor threat, more or less like a seasonal flu, killing less that last years flu in some places and more in some other. Time will tell if my guess is right.

The slums may prove if Coronavirus is really fearsome, or not so much. Hopefully there will be decisions to improve their living condition, or find ways to create more living space

Meanwhile, pls pray for this jam-packed multi-religious multi-ethnic community.

Durand Line, Pakistan, India, Afghanistan – Donald Trump & Narendra Modi

Donald Trump is a well known figure. Narendra Modi less so. Trump is coming to India on Feb 24. Some folks believe this is only for photo op and to prop up each other’s political stature – as Trump is facing reelection and Modi is facing street protests.

However, some reports are surfacing on the real reason for the visit – which is Afghanistan.

I decided to write up what I think is happening … which is a follow up of events that started about 130 years ago, back in the 1890s. Russia was lead by Czar Alexander III, who was soon to die and Nicholas III was to ascend to the throne – the last Czar, who would be dethroned by the Communists in 1917.

But I am running ahead of the story. The year was 1893. Alexander III was still alive as the Czar of Russia. He wanted to expand his empire and started sending his soldiers south, towards Afghanistan.

Meanwhile, The British were busy consolidating their own empire and were already getting settled in India. Their control extended till the eastern Border of Afghanistan. As such, the British were actually eyeing up Afghanistan too, and were building up their own forces along the Afghan border.

The encroachment of Russian forces placed two major empires within striking distance across Afghanistan. The rivalry between the Russians and the British were called, those days, “The Great Game”. The game itself, I presume, involved empire building.

Back to Afghanistan. That tiny and thinly populated country, inhabited by a smorgasbord of various ethnic tribes, were ruled by a sort of King – called Emir in Afghanistan. He was Emir Abdur Rahman Khan. Khan was faced with two very powerful enemies simultaneously – Russians in the north and the British on the east. It was unlikely that he would be able to fight both of them off, at the same time.

The British had acquired their empire not so much by actual fighting, but by cleaver dealings, and pitching one king agains the other etc, by stealth rather than direct fighting. The British decided to have a meeting with the Emir of Afghanistan. They offered guarantee of non-aggression and peace, but in exchange, they demanded Afghanistan to hand over a large chunk of land to the empire of British India, almost half of Afghanistan.

The Emir balked. So the British offered what appeared to be a sweeter deal – a lease of part of Afghanistan, as a buffer and insurance, just in case Afghanistan fell to the Russians and Russia attacks British India, the fight would take place on Afghan land rather than on the border with British India. The lease would be for 99 years, at the end of which the British would return the land back to Afghanistan.

The 99 year lease idea has worked for the British on more than one occasion. Hong Kong too was leased for 99 years from the Chinese emperor in 1898, and handed over to Communist China in 1997.

Anyhow, the Afghan Emir fell for the scheme, just like the Chinese Emperor too fell for the Hong Kong lease a few years later. The British were good at it, I tell you.

Anyhow, there was a need to draw up this newfangled border where Afghanistan was to give up part of its land to the British Empire on lease. The Afghan Emir did have people that could draw maps and measure borders, but the British convinced them that their own civil servants expert in land survey are better. So, Mortimer Durand, a British diplomat of the Indian Civil Service, drew the border, taking more than what was agreed upon, but not in a way you or the Afghans would notice. The new line was called the Durand line, named after Mortimer Durand.

The Afghans managed to thwart the Russians at north, more because Alexander III died and Young Nicholas, still in his twenties, did not have the appetite to have a war in the southern mountains of Afghanistan – and would soon get embroiled in his own troubles with the Bolsheviks, or communists.

The whole scene changed in 99 years. The Czar had gone in 1917. Soviet Union, born then, was also gone by 1990. Also gone was British India. Afghanistan was a democratic nation, and there was no sign of an Emir.

To complicate matters, British India did not become only India. Muslim majority areas decided to secede and not live under Hindu majority. So in 1947 two parts separated from the rest when the British left. These two parts became Pakistan, east and west. West Pakistan was located between India and Afghanistan, and East Pakistan was where Bangladesh is.

A few decades down the line, in 1971, the two Pakistans had a fallout and a war. India helped the eastern half and forced the West Pakistani military to surrender to an Indian general, thus liberating East Pakistan and getting them independence. Independent Bangladesh was born.

So, by the time those 99 years got over – in 1992, democratic Afghanistan wanted their land to be returned back. But this time they had to ask Pakistan, which was holding the land. Pakistan told them to get lost.

Since then, Afghanistan has kept asking and Pakistan refusing. Durand Line remains till date.

To further complicate matters – The Durand Line actually goes across tribals lands of Pashtoon and Baloch people. Neither of the tribes were asked if they agree to their land being cut into two and part of it given to British India or later Pakistan. Neither of them agree to the partition and till date, do not consider that border to mean anything. They keep moving back and forth across the border to their kin on both sides of the line.

Even more complicated – the Baloch, most of whose land fell into todays Pakistan – hate the Pakistani people, and are asking, of all countries – India, to help them gain independence.

Also back in Afghanistan, the majority of their population is Pashtoon, yet a large chunk of Pshtoon land is located across the Durand Line in Pakistan.

Enter Soviet Union, Modern Afghanistan, USA, Trump and India.

Soviets in 1979 had landed in Afghanistan and for a while, established a communist regime there. USA in turn supported various Islamic terrorist groups to fight the Soviets. The Soviets got tired of fighting stubborn Afghans and left. But the terrorists did not wind down. They had Taliban and Al Qaeda operatives – as well as Osama Bin Laden lodged there. 9/11 happened, master minded by Bin Laden from Afghanistan. US forces invaded Afghanistan along with close allies.

So, USA wanted the Soviets to get entangled in Afghanistan and find it as difficult as the US found Vietnam. In fact Afghanistan was to be a Vietnam for the Soviets. But it turned out that the Soviets left early, and now the US forces, having invaded Afghanistan and established another democratic pro-west government, is unable to leave Afghanistan. Why? Because the elected Government appears perpetually too weak to fight the Islamic insurgents and prevent Taliban from regaining power. So, the US is stuck there, through the times of Bush junior and Obama. I have a feeling that neither Bush nor Obama actually wanted to leave Afghanistan, but getting some benefit out of their presence was proving to be tough.

Somebody had to take up the task of providing security for the Government, if the US was to pull out. Pakistan was out of question, since the Afghans hated them and would not agree. India was out of question because Pakistan would raise hell. As it is they have Indian forces on their east. They did not want to be surrounded by Indian forces also on their western border.

Anyhow, the US forces remained.

Enter Trump. He has no love lost with Pakistan. India kept becoming a bigger economy. India also had the manpower to counter China. China was slated to be USA’s main geopolitical rival in the coming decades. India and China were already gearing up to be sort of economic powerhouses and possible rivals in Asia. It would be prudent and in fact essential for the US to cultivate stronger ties with India in multiple theatres.

Trump wanted India to send soldiers for peace keeping in Afghanistan, and help replace the US forces. Trump wanted to bring his troops home wherever keeping those troops were unprofitable. And now, as his first term comes to a close, he wanted to hurry up and show that he was able to get his soldiers home from at least one of the military outposts. But for that, he needed India to agree to send their troops to Kabul.

India has balked at sending soldiers outside of their border. USA has been telling India that there is no way they can be a powerful nation unless they also step up with peace keeping and sending soldiers abroad to help friendly nations. India still balks.

Meanwhile, Afghanistan too wanted, for their own reasons, Indian government to send their peacekeeping forces to help Afghanistan protect itself, and to let the Americans go home. Afghanistan had send several government teams to discuss this with Delhi. And yet, India had demurred.

I understand that India is wary of getting bogged like Soviets in Afghanistan or Americans in Vietnam. They are searching for non-military ways they can contribute, without having boots on the ground in Afghanistan.

Anyhow, that is the main reason, I have reason to believe, that Trump is coming to India. To sweeten the offer, Trump is likely bringing trade deals, perhaps greater visa and work permits for Indians to go to USA, or perhaps better deals selling US warplanes and stuff to India, or something else, whatever would entice India to jump in.

Also new geopolitical alliances are forming – USA, Israel, India. India is already, I think, the biggest trading partner, at least in defence equipment, for Israel. There are multiple joint ventures signed and starting off between Israel and India. A lot of things are changing under the surface.

The story started when King George V was the emperor of Great Britain, and Czar Nicholas (III) was about to be the last Czar of Russia and one British Civil servant Mortimer Durand drew a jagged line along the mountains at the edge of the British Indian empire. The story has not ended yet, a hundred and thirty years down the line, and Donald Trump of the US and Narendra Modi of India are to play out their hands now.

The great game continues, although the players have changed.

A lot has happened in one month, thanks to an invisible, and perhaps imaginary virus, 2019-nCOV. My life and that of my family and closely friends and neighbours may alter in unpredictable ways and the signs are not good. Governments are asking business to slow down or shut down and for people to consume less. This in itself may be good for the planet if this was the original plan and the effort was to smoothly transition civilisation from one phase to another. But to do it under mortal fear, randomly and abruptly, turning normal life on its head for billions of people – is something else.

I am sometimes referring to the virus as just Corona because its full name, 2019-nCOV is too damn long. Covid19 is the name of the sickness one might get, if infected by this virus.

World is going nuts about a virus that, when one looks through the haze of selective reporting and the din of mass hysteria, appears to me to be hardly much different from every years flu. I started tracking the death counts, for example in Italy, to see how many actually die, out of those that are confirmed infected – and the ration looks ridiculously insignificant to be calling this the greatest medical threat to mankind since the Black Death of the 14th century, which killed 60 million people worldwide when the population of the planet was  about one sixteenth of today.

I took data from the above Government released numbers from Italy, to produce the below chart.

Even more strangely, or outrageously, my posts on Facebook started getting scrambled, when those posts and pictures death with doubting the media frenzy about the seriousness of the pandemic. Was it my computer that was acting up through an infection of its own, or was it something more sinister. In the process of trying to unravel the mystery, I remembered that Ron Pauls comments on his own website claiming the Coronavirus scare to be a hoax was not properly showing up on Facebook, with blocked out image of the page indicating there were false information mentioned there. Clearly, the industry has been leaning on Facebook, who in turn would lean on any user that dared to question the official line – that Coronavirus was real. Anybody that dared say different, was likely to have his comment graded out or tarnished by claim that this was false presentation of the facts.

Trying to rely on blog and websites more than Facebook

Facebook in other words, might actually now be censoring free speech and freedom of expression, on behalf of the same group that presumably tries to exert control over behaviour of even governments.

And it is not just Facebook. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, the state controlled TV outlet, better known as CBC also does it. It cut Dr. Kettner of Manitoba halfway through his sentence because he was doubting the data claiming Coronavirus to be a pandemic or even an epidemic. So, is it just me or is there a major conspiracy that even others have cottoned on to, but are being silenced by the system? Both Dr. Kettjer and Dr. Ron Paul are medical doctors that practiced medicine for years.

I also remembered that the private web sites are not under Facebook, and perhaps not yet so much under control of the Government or industry. I don’t even know who controls whom at this point.

And so, it dawned back on me that I should perhaps use my blog more often than Facebook, for airing my comments. In any case, people have polarised views. a vast majority do not judge the issue of this pandemic from a neutral stand and with an open mind. Many are influenced by like or dislike of a person, and thus allow their judgment to be clouded by the actions of those persons – example – Donald Trump of the US or Narendra Modi of India, or Boris Johnson of UK or Putin of Russia – take your pick.

They are so fixated to oppose these three that if any of them declare the sun to be rising from the east, these instinctive and mindless naysayers will automatically claim that the sun actually rises from some other direction. That is how you can identify these nay sayers. They surrendered their logic, just to be anti-Putin, anti-Trump or anti-Modi.

Since Trump initially called Coronavirus a hoax, and later, under pressure changed his tune a little, the public, using that as a reverse litmus paper, may have decided that the virus, real or imaginary, must be the agent of a new age Black Death of the Bubonic plague notoriety.

The raw data coming out of WHO can be used for doing analysis which indicates, again and again, that there is no pandemic, nor even a middle serious threat of any epidemic. This is just this season’s variant of common cold of flu. Thats it. The following 30 minute video explains it well – and I hope that video will not be taken down soon.

As the video says, your immune system is the best defence against Coronavirus, and your brain is the best defence against the fear virus. Use both diligently and support both – don’t fall for fake panic.

A brief update lasting six minutes has come out on march 27, with update of WHO data up to March 26.

Despite these factual analysis, nations are shutting themselves down.

We are trying to arrange a conference call so some of the folks can address some of the issues we should take care of now, to protect ourselves from financial hard times possibly also coupled with unravelling of the social structure and the basic support system provided by the Government.

March 27, 2020

Looking for previous flu figures. The problems with these deductions is the accuracy of the data with respect to how many get infected. For flu, a vast number of people may get the symptom but not even see a doctor since they get over it by themselves. So the dead to recovered ration would be very small.

I suspect the same in Coronavirus cases, i.e. I myself, for example, may have gotten it somewhere in USA or Canada in the last two-three months, when I drove cross country from British Columbia to Florida and came back across the US southwest to California and up the west coat, dropping I restaurants and hotel lobbies, joining up XMAS and new year events etc.

If all fo us were to be tested, I suspect a lot of us had it, got over it without showing symptoms and have residual antibody that should show up if we were tested, thereby greatly skewering up the same death to recover ratio.

Today, I cannot get tested for Coronavirus free of charge unless I show symptoms. Therefore, if I already had it and recovered, I shall be out of the statistics.

I have heard of people that fall into this category. Their blood sample was drawn in October and November in the US for some other reason, such as an accident, and some of the stored blood was now tested and show presence of the Coronavirus. Then they were called back, four months after the blood drawn, to check again for virus and antibody – and they show no sign of the virus but residual presence of antibody, proving that they had the virus back in October and November without even knowing of it, and they got over it by themselves.

The thing is – these guys freely mixed with others, who in turn mixed with more.

This is why some scientists like Don Huber suspects that in the US hundreds of Millions of people are likely already naturally immunised from Coronavirus by being infected long back and passing it around too, and a smaller percentage are now “available” for fresh infection – like it is happening in New York.

So, if all of these were/are tested, the ratio for Coronavirus deaths would become insignificantly small.

This is why I would rather check only the deaths, ensure that the dead died only from Coronavirus and they did not have other comorbidities, check their age demography, and then compare the absolute death numbers with flu death numbers for past years, to get a comparative view. I suspect that the Coronavirus would turn out to be a lame one.

Just my two cents. Time will tell what happens. We know how complicated the numbers in Italy are. Over 99% of the dead had secondary and even three or four other serious life threatening comorbidities apart from being really old. Those factors skewers the projection greatly.

….. under construction … to continue